| Study Component | FY 2016 | FY 2017 | FY 2018 | FY 2019 | ||||||||||||
| Water Use | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 |
| Refined water use data compilation at HUC-8, AWUDS/SWUDS input | ||||||||||||||||
| Preparation and publication of water-use data releases | ||||||||||||||||
| Population, Land use, and Climate Change Modeling | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 |
| Develop population and land-use change scenarios | ||||||||||||||||
| Develop water-use and climate change scenarios | ||||||||||||||||
| Surface-Water Modeling | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 |
| Develop model (SWAT) for Cape Fear River and Pee Dee/Waccamaw River basins (2010 conditions) | ||||||||||||||||
| Calibrate surface-water models (SWAT) to accomodate recent (2000-2014) water use conditions | ||||||||||||||||
| Simulate population/land use and climate change scenarios with SWAT models | ||||||||||||||||
| Ecological Response Modeling | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 |
| Assemble existing biological data (fish and inverts), identify study sites for space-for-time modeling, and identify sites that can be used to validate these models | ||||||||||||||||
| Team evaluation of biological sampling sites and review of existing response models and application to Pee Dee and Cape Fear basins | ||||||||||||||||
| Generate ecological flows statistics from prelimimary surface-water model output (Eflows package) | ||||||||||||||||
| Develop ecological flow-response model for current (1983-2014) conditions (from SWAT models) | ||||||||||||||||
| Run ecological flow-response model with projected changes in water-use and climate/land cover projections | ||||||||||||||||
| Test efficacy of ecoflow criteria and run/refine existing ecological response models and assess change under land-use/climate/water-demand scenarios | ||||||||||||||||
| Groundwater Modeling | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 |
| Data acquisition compilation | ||||||||||||||||
| Construct refined/modified groundwater flow model | ||||||||||||||||
| Re-calibrate groundwater flow model | ||||||||||||||||
| Develop variable density (SEAWAT) groundwater model | ||||||||||||||||
| Simulate groundwater management/demand and climate change scenarios | ||||||||||||||||
| Study Products/Reports | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 |
| Prepare, review, and publish USGS Scientific Invesigation Reports/Journal Articles | ||||||||||||||||
| Develop decision support system/user interface | ||||||||||||||||